Any bets on 50 ft water rise?

Status
Not open for further replies.
The snow pack report has quit reporting the snow pack percentages (SWE) so now it's anyone's guess as to how much water will be coming down those rivers. I still say 60' will be reached.
 
Dave I. said:
The snow pack report has quit reporting the snow pack percentages (SWE) so now it's anyone's guess as to how much water will be coming down those rivers. I still say 60' will be reached.
Click to expand...
I had trouble finding SWE the othe day, but it is on the LPWDB when you click on the graphs. About 4 inches still on the watershed, usually near zero at this time. That's a lot of water, peak this winter was 21 inches.
 
Dave I. said:
Another picture of the snow still left on the Henry Mountains outside of Hanksville. It's still more than just a skiff on the North sides and I have no doubt the Western Colorado mountains have more than this because of the elevation.

With temps rising, more water will be coming soon.
View attachment 5420
Click to expand...
Thats just it exactly Dave. It is just now warming up enough in SW Colorado to start melting the north slopes. Our rivers just exploded again. We woke up to ice at 6500' just a week ago. Last I saw there was still 20 + inches of water in the San Juan basin to melt off. I expect to see inflows rise sharply in a couple days.
 
viking842000 said:
Thats just it exactly Dave. It is just now warming up enough in SW Colorado to start melting the north slopes. Our rivers just exploded again. We woke up to ice at 6500' just a week ago. Last I saw there was still 20 + inches of water in the San Juan basin to melt off. I expect to see inflows rise sharply in a couple days.
Click to expand...
This is exactly why I have been saying all along, that the graphs and predictions are completely off this year because of the extremely strange weather. The water data doesn't take into account the temperature or the weather pattern, that I know of. Considering parts of Colorado got 2' of snow in June should be a huge indicator that the weather is different this year.
I am hoping I am right and it turns into a huge surprise for run off for all the resources predicting 3622'. I'm hoping to see 1' per day rise again before it's all said and done, even if it's only for one more day. :)
Considering the Colorado River jumped up 40% in current flow in the past 2 days, there is a lot more water coming to the lake.
 
Last edited:
The flow increased a bit today over the previous days. A couple days back I checked the water equivalent listed that is remaining for the drainage and it was similar to May 25 average instead of late June that tells me it will still be coming down for a few more weeks

6.7 more feet will make it 50 we got that no problem I am sure, I think 60 is still in the picture pretty easily, if it rises for 3 more weeks at 7 inches a day average that's over 12 more feet that's getting within 5 feet of that.. I think we could make it to 60 !!!!
Lets all hope for more water !!
 
Graph of
 
Let's see that 60. I wonder, when the lake was first filling, if it ever came up 60' in one year? Or would this be the first? And In 1983, how much would it have risen, if it hadnt been going over the spillway. Doe's anyone have the chart, for 1983?
This is a very different year, it will be interesting to see if it get's to a foot a day again.
 
So, if you look at the water data from past years, in 2011 we had a very similar type of trend going on. A very late run-off which lasted until July 31 at which point the lake level dropped. And since the flooding the other day in Gypsum (which hasn't hit the lake yet) and people reporting how wild the rivers still are up by Gunnison and the Roaring Fork, It's still coming in force.

But the reality is that the fuller the lake gets, the harder it is to gain that extra inch. The higher it goes, the more shoreline we have to cover. It would be interesting to hear how much shoreline we gain with every inch at this point too. Project for all those with too much spare time on their hands? haha
 
KYKevin said:
Let's see that 60. I wonder, when the lake was first filling, if it ever came up 60' in one year? Or would this be the first? And In 1983, how much would it have risen, if it hadnt been going over the spillway. Doe's anyone have the chart, for 1983?
This is a very different year, it will be interesting to see if it get's to a foot a day again.
Click to expand...

Rise and fall totals by year...

5453
 
Last edited:
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top