FishnFly
Well-Known Member
Thanks for reposting. I’ll take a look at that. Planning on buying a new boat in the next few months and I can’t wait to use it! Was just hoping I wouldn’t have to wait for the water to come back up to 3525.
Projected Bullfrog North Ramp Closure Date
- Thread starter John P Funk
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FishnFly
Well-Known Member
I hadn’t thought about that! I just bought a share on a boat in Bullfrog which I’m super pumped about and think I got a fair deal on. The boat I was mentioning I’ll hopefully be purchasing (assuming one comes available) in the next few months is a used Ranger 1850 Reata. I’m guessing I won’t find a deal on one of those here in Denver due to the ramp closing but if anyone on WW knows anyone who is considering selling one, I’m in the market.John P Funk
Escalante-Class Member
Weekly Update:
Lake elevation was 3525.83 yesterday. Freezing temperatures have slowed river flows significantly on the San Juan(55% of average) and the Green(60% of average) for the past few days. This has increased the 2 week average rate of decline to .11 ft/day and more importantly in the last 4 days the average decline has been .16 ft/day. Using these two rates, the closure between 4 to 6 days. NPS may hold ramp open till the new year, but it is unlikely that lake level will be above 3525 by then.
Lake elevation was 3525.83 yesterday. Freezing temperatures have slowed river flows significantly on the San Juan(55% of average) and the Green(60% of average) for the past few days. This has increased the 2 week average rate of decline to .11 ft/day and more importantly in the last 4 days the average decline has been .16 ft/day. Using these two rates, the closure between 4 to 6 days. NPS may hold ramp open till the new year, but it is unlikely that lake level will be above 3525 by then.
John P Funk
Escalante-Class Member
Based on new information from NPS(Thanks JFR), we have a new closure target for the Bullfrog North Ramp. That number is 3522. Yesterday's elevation was 3523.91 with a 2 week decline rate of -.04'/day. So a new anticipated closure date is 47 days from today or: March 14, 2023. Based on regional temperatures the inflows could change dramatically. In my corner of SW Colorado we are sitting on 24" of wet snow, which will find itself directly in Lake Powell(no intermediate reservoirs). If we get some warmer temperatures in the next month, I could see the North Ramp not closing for smaller vessels before the main melt from higher elevations begins. Alternatively, cold temperatures will keep the snow locked up and out of the streams. We'll see what happens.
John P Funk
Escalante-Class Member
Weekly Update:
Yesterdays level: 3523.6
Decline rate: .05ft/day
Current Anticipated closure based on these numbers = 31 days(March 2, 2023)
Some of the outliers(green) are preparing to drop from the 14 day average, so the window will start to shrink.
Yesterdays level: 3523.6
Decline rate: .05ft/day
Current Anticipated closure based on these numbers = 31 days(March 2, 2023)
Some of the outliers(green) are preparing to drop from the 14 day average, so the window will start to shrink.
John P Funk
Escalante-Class Member
Weekly Update
Yesterdays level: 3522.93
Decline rate: .09ft/day(14 day average)
Current Anticipated closure based on these numbers = 9 days(Feb 15, 2023)
Outlier data points have dropped from the list, resulting in increased decline rate. We are seeing some melting in SW Colorado, but it will be a while before these flows reach tributary rivers in any large quantity. Looks like the window is closing for Bullfrog North(based on statements from NPS and confirmation photos).
Yesterdays level: 3522.93
Decline rate: .09ft/day(14 day average)
Current Anticipated closure based on these numbers = 9 days(Feb 15, 2023)
Outlier data points have dropped from the list, resulting in increased decline rate. We are seeing some melting in SW Colorado, but it will be a while before these flows reach tributary rivers in any large quantity. Looks like the window is closing for Bullfrog North(based on statements from NPS and confirmation photos).
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