Thank you. I appreciate that. But as I told my wife when I first met her, 50% of what I say is probably true, and the other 50% may or may not be, even if I think it is. The trick is to figure out which 50% is coming out of my mouth at any given time, and when to call me on the other half. We're still working on that.JFR, It's been said before.....and will be said again.....you are an amazing professorial gem to our forum.....Mucho Mahalo, Grazie, und vielin Danke.....
.....if ONLY they would have listened to you in 1922......we'd all be happy like clams at high tide......(er.....any elevation?)
seriously, you bring long forgotten/discarded historical data/maps/etc, with important context, that explains the 'thinking' ....(or lack of)... at the time.....that put us where we are in 2026. (most folks don't put historical data in any 'context'....which, IMHO, doesn't give the full picture, but you always do...)
Like all wordlings......So love your posts!!!
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Im curious about this remark,,,,,,.....if ONLY they would have listened to you in 1922......we'd all be happy like clams at high tide......(er.....any elevation?)
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JFR -as the great George Costanza said, "It's not a lie, if you believe it".Thank you. I appreciate that. But as I told my wife when I first met her, 50% of what I say is probably true, and the other 50% may or may not be, even if I think it is. The trick is to figure out which 50% is coming out of my mouth at any given time, and when to call me on the other half. We're still working on that.
CatD8RII, When the powers that 'be'....well, were of that time, 1922....allocated the %'s of water to all the states.Im curious about this remark,,,,,,
Who is they?
What was the reason they should have listened to this in 1922?
To give you an idea of what Bullfrog Bay looked like before Lake Powell when it was Bullfrog Creek, here are two aerial shots from 1958 and 1962, thanks to Dock Marston... First shot is looking up the creek from the river, the second one is looking down the creek...My read of the map is that if LP levels continue to drop the area of Bullfrog Marina's historical location will become a narrow ribbon of water. Is that correct?


Thanks @Rainbowbridge. I think in fairness to those who put together the Compact in 1922, they did not have the benefit of seeing the future. Their dataset was also limited, and really only reliably measured since about 1906 or so, perhaps 1895 if you want to stretch it. Before that, it was mostly anecdotal. And if you look at what they had to work with, and squinted and hoped, you could convince yourself that there was more than 15 maf and maybe as much as 18 maf as an average river flow, depending on the assumptions you made about upstream diversions, and what you cherry-picked as your dataset. (The reality was that the 1895-1922 dataset yielded an average natural flow of 15.2 maf.) You also have to remember that it was very much in the interest of the states (especially the upper basin states) to convince yourself that flows really were that big, because unless they were, the share of the pie you agreed to wouldn't seem like much. Remember that in 1922, the Compact did not allocate percentages by state, just established a split between upper and lower basins, and that while nominally 50-50, it really said "lower basin gets its full share of 7.5 maf, but upper basin only gets its 7.5 maf share if there is enough leftover."CatD8RII, When the powers that 'be'....well, were of that time, 1922....allocated the %'s of water to all the states.
That has, & continues to be (wordlings please correct if'n I'm mistaken)....has largely gotten us into the current debacle/situation.
Basically, those guys in 1922 did not look at ALL the historical flow/rainfall data that JFR does. They took the wettest years....and made long standing policy from that erroneous (egregious?) perspective.
Which..........may have dictated both Hoover & GC Dam's ability to release....cuz they never thought wettest years would ever.....dry up.....(sorry, bad pun)
JFR, is that synopsis somewhat accurate?![]()
Amazing pictures! Trying to see where an extension of the main ramp would go.To give you an idea of what Bullfrog Bay looked like before Lake Powell when it was Bullfrog Creek, here are two aerial shots from 1958 and 1962, thanks to Dock Marston... First shot is looking up the creek from the river, the second one is looking down the creek...
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