I would doubt that for a few reasons. The stripers rely on schooling and pack predation, pinning the shad near the surface. Really good shad years mean more boils (at least as far as I have read on WW)! Besides, it seems like the reports from not that long ago were showing about 50% of the stripers were still on the skinny side. If there was TOO much forage, you would think the stripers would be super fat. Pure speculation, but could it be that we had such a late, cool spring, with cold water temperatures that the shad are just now getting big enough to create boils?